Climate Change Scenarios for Hyderabad: Integrating Uncertainties and Consolidation German edition

The paper evaluates the global climate projections of 17 AOGCMs with the aim to project 4 climatic variables under two different global emission scenarios (SRES B1 and A2) for the area of Hyderabad (India) for the 21st century. The evaluated model runs were produced within the IPCC AR4 - process. We applied a statistical downscaling to be able to evaluate that large number of model runs. Aggregation of results was done on the basis of model and variable speci?c weights re?ecting the accuracy of reproduction of the current climate. Projection certainty was assessed by the degree of model consensus.